Why did those that voted No in the French refererendum did so? Did they really object to the one or other part of the Constitutional Treaty?
Not really. A quick poll by the TNS-Sofres opinion polling agency tries to answer why the No’s noted No.
The number one reason (46 %) is the issue of unemployment and a fear that it will rise further. This is, in its essence, the question on whether globalization is a threat or a promise.
The number two reason (40 %) is the situation in the country in more general terms. It’s difficult to see that this has anything to do with the Constitutional Treaty.
The number three reason (35 %) is the alleged possibility of re-negotiating the treaty. Unclear, however, what this re-negotiation should be about.
And the two reasons sharing the number four position (34 %) is that the treaty is difficult to understand and that it is too liberal.
That most constitutional text are rather far from being immediate crowd-pleasers seems to be a point lost, or that the ultimate in being liberal in terms of an open market is really the Treaty of Rome that France signed in 1957 and has been – well, more or less – implementing since then.
I guess that there will be more refined polling and analysis eventually, but these first results are not without their interest.
In the meantime, we are all waiting for the Nethetlands.